Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 4.106147 4.564692 5.055300 5.619645 6.251387 6.937341 7.739352
2026-02-08 3.299505 3.920271 4.632405 5.511483 6.569880 7.806098 9.363911
2026-02-15 2.785590 3.491785 4.348881 5.469536 6.901897 8.678975 11.062773
2026-02-22 2.485626 3.259329 4.244065 5.596056 7.414650 9.791071 13.156186
2026-03-01 2.201144 2.999114 4.056780 5.571079 7.699786 10.609531 14.929347
2026-03-08 1.928402 2.716297 3.798070 5.404644 7.752096 11.090722 16.259395
2026-03-15 1.740550 2.526691 3.641173 5.352556 7.943325 11.765012 17.915355
2026-03-22 1.633169 2.438739 3.615632 5.480712 8.400469 12.859545 20.306305
2026-03-29 1.541136 2.362401 3.596223 5.609854 8.862714 13.995172 22.871306
2026-04-05 1.435647 2.254196 3.515905 5.631596 9.150019 14.872035 25.095314
2026-04-12 1.323326 2.124325 3.388568 5.562356 9.276201 15.488724 26.931677
2026-04-19 1.219544 1.998740 3.256203 5.469991 9.349685 16.015212 28.653195
2026-04-26 1.123047 1.879133 3.126747 5.375886 9.419862 16.557473 30.493525
2026-05-03 1.036252 1.768880 3.004019 5.282351 9.482001 17.091457 32.380888
2026-05-10 0.967826 1.684513 2.918333 5.245867 9.642135 17.816042 34.710844
2026-05-17 0.930836 1.652198 2.920582 5.368288 10.107423 19.153317 38.398706
2026-05-24 0.875420 1.582007 2.848743 5.344913 10.289579 19.960018 41.093865
2026-05-31 0.806274 1.481096 2.712482 5.185831 10.188998 20.194914 42.609867
2026-06-07 0.757953 1.415299 2.636223 5.136051 10.300410 20.863925 45.127664
2026-06-14 0.735077 1.396089 2.646617 5.258731 10.775039 22.327594 49.569672
2026-06-21 0.713670 1.377957 2.657361 5.382330 11.261910 23.862805 54.354148
2026-06-28 0.682080 1.337279 2.620340 5.403140 11.529202 24.945274 58.206193
2026-07-05 0.643544 1.279829 2.545308 5.336881 11.598736 25.593094 61.088377